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Snow Reports For Blizzard And Grade My Forecast Jan 28 And 29 – Just In Weather

by NewsReporter
January 30, 2022
in Waldorf
Reading Time: 19 mins read
snow-reports-for-blizzard-and-grade-my-forecast-jan-28-and-29-–-just-in-weather
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Saturday January 29 2022

There is nothing easy about any east coast storm for the Mid Atlantic. Throw in a true Blizzard and more snow expected for the beaches, it will leave many inland wanting more.  It is nearly impossible to be perfect for everyone, but overall this storm worked out well.  But I will highlight where I went wrong below.

BWI Official Snow Observation Confusion

  • Storm Total = 1.5”
  • 1” Friday + 0.5” Saturday.

However, they had a 2” snow depth, compared to a 0” snow depth yesterday.

Huh? 

It turns out the snow measurement is to 0.1”, but snow depth is rounded to the Full Inch.

  • Seasonal Total Now: 12.8”
  • Above Normal By +4.7”

BLIZZARD MAP

This weather map from Saturday morning tells the story of the sharp cutoff that was expected. There was a true split across the Chesapeake

Bay, but some of the western shore got in on the action.  Please see the ‘Previous’ button at the top of this page if you would like to review all the reports and weather maps.

january 29 weather blizzard saturday morning

Snow Spotter Reports

(Local maps and spotter lists are below the Grading Poll)

january-29-blizzard-snow-totals

COMPARE TO MY FIRST CALL and UPDATED CALL

There was a lot more snow east, less west, and strong winds!   My First Call For Snowfall may have worked out better for some than my Updated. I had to expand my snow expectation with the new data on Friday when Hurricane Hunters flight data showed the track closer to the coast. It was, but jut a little…

FIRST CALL FOR SNOWFALL

Very close to the actual results…

january 27 weather snow my first call

UPDATED CALL

Improvement for higher totals east and south.

Too much added in parts of central Maryland.

january 28 winter storm my snow call updated

What Went Right

  • I was first to call this a blizzard more than a day before the warnings were issued. 
  • The western and northern areas in my ‘dusting to 2”. Carroll,  Frederick and western Maryland. Also for York and Adams Co in PA (dusting even though it snowed all Friday).
  • Southern Maryland getting more snow.
  • Eastern Shore/Delmarva mostly OVER 6 with plenty around 12” or higher by the beach!

(Also See: Top Snow Photos)

WHORD

What Went Wrong?

I started to track this storm last Monday, but downplayed the social hype. Even comparing the models, I was leaning towards the lower end of snow for central MD. It was when NOAA Hurricane Hunters flew in and get data showing the closer track to the coast, when I updated my snow map… 

MY BIGGEST MISTAKE

I increased my 1” to 3” range up to 2” to 4” AND expanded it west of Baltimore and across metro Washington. I should have kept the first range.

The back edge of the snow was the hardest thing to predict. Any wobble of 20 to 30 miles would affect nearly 1 million people with more or less snow.  

See ALL Snow Reports Below

Lots of maps and spotter lists.  

Please, first take part of my Poll To Grade My Forecast, or scroll the maps and list, then come back.   I expect a wide range depending on your location in this event. 

Grade My Forecast

MAPS

Big Winner! Delmarva and Southern Maryland

Annapolis did get 4″ of snow, with higher amounts to the south and east across the Bay spanning all of Delmarva.

january 29 blizzard snow totals maryland south delmarva

Northeast Maryland

january 29 blizzard snow totals maryland northeast

North Central Maryland

january 29 blizzard snow totals maryland north

Metro Washington

january 29 blizzard snow totals maryland washington

Snow Spotter Lists

Delmarva Numbers 1st

From NWS AKQ

january 29 weather snow report Delmarva south VA SE

…Maryland…

…Dorchester County…

1 W Hurlock                  6.0 in    0732 AM 01/29  

2 ENE East New Market        5.5 in    0808 AM 01/29  

Hurlock 1.9 SW               5.5 in    0800 AM 01/29  

East New Market 1.9 SE       5.3 in    0400 AM 01/29 

Cambridge                    5.0 in    0921 AM 01/29 

…Somerset County…

2 NNW Marion Station         10.0 in   0954 AM 01/29  

Marion Station 1.7 S         8.3 in    0700 AM 01/29  

…Wicomico County…

Parsonsburg                  10.0 in   0700 AM 01/29 

1 SSW Salisbury              10.0 in   1054 AM 01/29

Parsonsburg 1.6 WNW          9.5 in    0738 AM 01/29 

1 NNE Salisbury              9.5 in    0920 AM 01/29

Delmar                       7.0 in    0917 AM 01/29  

…Worcester County…

1 NW Ocean Pines             14.0 in   0838 AM 01/29 

Ocean Pines 0.9 SSW          12.5 in   0700 AM 01/29  

Newark                       12.0 in   1118 AM 01/29 

1 S West Ocean City          12.0 in   0837 AM 01/29  

Snow Hill                    11.0 in   0836 AM 01/29  

Berlin                       9.5 in    0809 AM 01/29  

Bishopville 3.1 E            7.6 in    0500 AM 01/29  

From NWS Mt Holly, NJ

 …Maryland…

 …Kent County…

 Rock Hall                    4.0 in    1200 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

…Delaware…

 …Kent County…

 5 SSE Sandtown               11.2 in   1230 PM 01/29   Public               

 Felton                       9.0 in    0430 PM 01/29   Public               

 Dover                        8.4 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Woodside                     8.1 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Harrington                   8.0 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Smyrna                       7.5 in    0220 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Frederica                    7.1 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 West Dover                   5.9 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Smyrna                       5.4 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 …New Castle County…

 Bear                         6.0 in    1141 AM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Odessa                       5.2 in    1234 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 2 SW Glendale                5.0 in    0240 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Hockessin                    4.3 in    0115 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Blackbird                    4.2 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Talleyville                  4.0 in    1215 PM 01/29   Public               

 Claymont                     3.7 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Port Penn                    3.5 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 New Castle County Airport    3.4 in    0100 PM 01/29   ASOS                 

 Talley                       3.3 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Glasgow                      3.0 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Newark                       2.8 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 White Clay Creek             2.8 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Greenville                   2.7 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 New Castle                   2.7 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Newark                       2.6 in    0148 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Prices Corner                2.5 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Hockessin                    2.2 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 …Sussex County…

 3 W Lewes                    14.2 in   0115 PM 01/29   Broadcast Media      

 2 WNW Bethany Beach          11.5 in   0400 PM 01/29   Public               

 Fenwick Island               11.4 in   0213 PM 01/29   Storm Chaser         

 Millsboro                    11.1 in   0140 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Stockley                     9.3 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Dagsboro                     9.1 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Bethany Beach                9.0 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 3 WSW Georgetown             9.0 in    0129 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      

 Ellendale                    8.9 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Lewes Nassau                 7.5 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Lewes University             6.5 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Seaford                      6.5 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Bridgeville                  5.9 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

 Laurel                       5.3 in    0200 PM 01/29   Mesonet              

Washington and Maryland from NWS in Sterling, VA

LOCATION                TOTAL      TIME/DATE  COMMENTS               

                     SNOWFALL       MEASURED

                     (inches)               

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

…District of Columbia…

  National Zoo            1.1  1148 PM  1/28  Trained Spotter        

  National Arboretum      1.0   830 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

  Washington 3 NE         0.9   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  National Zoo 1 WSW      0.5   320 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Dalecarlia Reservoir    0.1   800 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

MARYLAND

…Allegany County…

  Frostburg               0.8   700 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

  Cresaptown-Bel Air 1    0.3   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Cumberland              0.2   700 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

…Anne Arundel County…

  Birdsville  WSW         3.8   515 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Annapolis 1 SE          3.6  1001 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Pasadena 3 ESE          3.5   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Churchton  ENE          3.5   700 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Riva 2 WNW              3.0   730 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Deale 1 SE              3.0   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Crownsville 3 SSW       2.9   800 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Birdsville              2.8  1200 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  Crofton 1 SSE           2.4   740 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  Odenton 1 WNW           2.3   728 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Severn 2 SSW            2.0   831 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Green Haven 1 ESE       2.0   810 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Crofton 2 NNE           2.0   800 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  Odenton 1 N             1.9   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Chelsea Beach           1.6   100 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Bwi Airport             1.5   700 AM  1/29  Airport                

  Glen Burnie 1 WSW       1.4   445 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Baltimore County…

  Edgemere  ESE           2.2   740 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Gunpowder 2 W           1.7   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Towson 1 SW             1.7   830 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Upper Falls 2 SW        1.7   855 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  White Marsh 2 ESE       1.4   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  White Marsh 2 E         1.3   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Bentley Springs 1 E     1.3   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Long Green 1 SW         1.3   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Perry Hall 1 NNE        1.2   747 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Timonium  NE            1.1   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Pikesville 2 SW         1.0   600 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Long Green 2 NW         1.0   940 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Baltimore City…

  Pimlico  SE             1.0   610 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Hamilton  NE            0.9   600 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Mount Washington 1 N    0.8   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

…Calvert County…

  Prince Frederick 1 S    5.0   600 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Dunkirk 3.2NNE          4.0   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Tracys Landing 2 WSW    4.0   800 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Huntingtown  SW         3.6   735 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Prince Frederick 1 W    3.6   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Chesapeake Beach 4 S    3.0   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Lusby  ESE              3.0   205 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Dowell 2 NE             2.5   730 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Carroll County…

  Mount Airy  SE          0.7   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Eldersburg 1 SE         0.5   700 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Westminster 3 SSW       0.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Taneytown 4 NE          0.5   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Eldersburg 1 E          0.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Gamber 1 WNW            0.4   816 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  Gamber 1 W              0.4   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

…Cecil County…

  Elkton 2 W              2.8   530 AM  1/29  Dept of Highways       

  Elkton 5 NW             2.7   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Elkton 1 NNW            2.5   900 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Woodlawn 2 ENE          2.1   844 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Charles County…

  Bryantown 2 NE          3.2   715 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Dentsville 1 SW         2.8  1130 PM  1/28  Trained Spotter        

  La Plata 6 SE           2.8   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Waldorf 3 S             2.8   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Waldorf 2 W             2.1   520 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Nanjemoy 5 S            1.7   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

…Frederick County…

  Thurmont 3 N            1.9   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Emmitsburg 2 SE         1.0   645 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

  Adamstown 1 ESE         0.8   700 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  New Market 2 NW         0.5   930 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

…Garrett County…

  Grantsville 5 W         3.0   800 AM  1/29  Dept of Highways       

  Frostburg 3 WNW         3.0   706 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Mc Henry 4 SW           2.0   600 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

…Harford County…           

  Abingdon 1 SE           1.5   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Bel Air 2 W             1.1   800 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Forest Hill 1 NNW       1.0   800 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Forest Hill 3 SW        1.0   755 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Magnolia                1.0   925 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Chrome Hill 2 SE        0.5  1216 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Howard County…

  Laurel 1 NNE            1.6   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Savage 1 WSW            1.2   730 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Elkridge                1.2   742 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  North Laurel 2 ESE      1.2   730 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Elkridge 2 W            1.2   645 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Columbia 2 N            0.8   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Columbia                0.8   800 AM  1/29  NWS Employee           

  Marriottsville 3 S      0.8   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Columbia 2 NE           0.6   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Sykesville 2 SSE        0.6   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Ellicott City           0.5  1245 AM  1/29  Broadcast Media        

  Clarksville 2 N         0.4  1100 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Montgomery County…

  Colesville 2 W          1.1   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Colesville              1.0   832 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Rossmoor 1 ESE          0.9   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Silver Spring 6 NNE     0.9   430 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Rockville 3 E           0.8   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Norbeck 1 ESE           0.8   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Aspen Hill 1 SW         0.7   915 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Bethesda 2 WNW          0.7   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  White Oak 1 N           0.7   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Potomac 1 NNW           0.6   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Damascus 3 SSW          0.6   700 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

  Olney 1 ENE             0.6   630 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Gaithersburg 3 NE       0.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Poolesville  SE         0.5   800 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Montgomery Village 1    0.5   630 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Damascus 1 S            0.5   703 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Takoma Park 1 NNW       0.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Clarksburg 1 SSE        0.4  1200 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Germantown 5 NNE        0.4   600 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  North Potomac 4 N       0.4   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Laytonsville 2 WNW      0.3   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Potomac 3 NE            0.3   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

...Prince Georges County…

  Brandywine 7 ESE        3.6   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Marlton 1 WSW           3.0   900 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Bowie 4 S               2.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Suitland 2 SE           1.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Fort Washington 1 SS    1.0   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

…St. Marys County…

  Ridge 1 N               5.5   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Park Hall 1 NNE         5.5   930 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Ridge 1 ENE             5.5   700 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Callaway 2 W            5.1   833 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Leonardtown 1 NE        5.0   600 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  California 2 W          4.7   715 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Great Mills 4 S         4.1   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Leonardtown  SSE        4.0   904 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Hollywood 3 S           4.0   745 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Great Mills 1 NNE       4.0   906 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Mechanicsville 7 SE     3.7   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  California 3 W          3.5   800 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Compton 2 ESE           2.4   630 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

  Compton 3 SSE           2.0   830 AM  1/29  Trained Spotter        

…Washington County…

  Keedysville 2 SSE       1.0   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Sharpsburg 5 S          1.0   700 AM  1/29  Co-Op Observer         

  Hancock 1 ESE           0.8   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Boonsboro 3 NNE         0.8  1100 PM  1/28  Trained Spotter        

  Hagerstown 1 ENE        0.4   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Hagerstown 4 NNW        0.4   700 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

  Williamsport 3 ENE      0.3   600 AM  1/29  CoCoRaHS               

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ALSO SEE

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

ALL FITF GEAR

FITF faith in the flakes snow gear store

FITF THUNDERSNOW

thundersnow fitf Feature

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

Snow Hereford Maryland February 4 2021

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

February 7 weather snow Sunday morning

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

sun solar storm november 8

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

Farmers almanac 4 different compared

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

noaa winter 2021 outlook precipitation

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

october 20 cfc outlook temperatures november

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

la nina Pacific Ocean Water September 2021

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

october 24 weather storm noreaster friday

Winter Folklore Checklist

winter weather folklore

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.

#FITF

Read More Here

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